AI Crypto Tokens Gather Momentum

11.01.23 01:47 AM By Stormrake

With the raging success of ChatGPT and stable diffusion, AI has been burst into the cultural zeitgeist in 2023. As always, when creativity and speculation collide, there will be a cross section of crypto tokens that manifest themselves as top performers within the crypto sphere.

The information contained here is for general information only. It should not be taken as constituting financial advice. Stormrake is not a financial adviser. You should consider seeking independent financial advice prior to making any personal investments.

AI Basket Outperformance

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Looking at a basket of the largest AI based tokens by market cap, we can see significant outperformance over the wider crypto markets and majors such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. This is obviously fuelled by rampant speculation but the momentum is clearly there and has been catching a strong bid since the crash in mid November 2022. One of the largest tokens by market cap is Fetch.AI, yet it still only trades at a valuation of approx. $200 million USD highlighting just how small this nascent group of tokens are within the crypto space. Since our tweet on the 3rd of Jan - FET.ai is up 99%.

Whilst we acknowledge there is a great opportunity in this developing category, we urge our readers to proceed with caution, a lot of macro and industry headwinds still face the wider crypto markets and can cause huge downside volatility should they come into play. A final note is that the incredible performance has been fuelled by retail speculation. If the narratives and attention shift elsewhere, prices can get corrected quickly.

Cooling Inflation Can Supercharge Risk Assets

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US inflation data is set to be released on Friday at 12:30am AEDT. Given the fact that crypto and US equity markets have shown some strength to start the year, an inline with expectations inflation print can send these markets much higher. FED chairman, Jerome Powell has been quite strong in his message of getting US inflation down to 2% and will use whatever monetary policy tools at his disposal to achieve said goal. With that in mind, if inflation was to come down to start the year, this can be seen as a potentially bullish signal as rates can normalise and markets can digest a stable rate environment. As always, we must heed caution though, as an uptick in inflation can send markets sharply lower, as traders position for more rate hikes.

BTC/USD Key Levels

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Bitcoin has started to put in work and is tracking above our key level of $17,300 USD. Should we manage to close above this key level on the daily chart, we will look for a sustained rally towards $18,217 especially if inflation data out of the US is in line with expectations. If momentum is particularly strong and we break and close above $18,217, a retest of $19,673 by end of the week cannot be ruled out. To the downside, watch for a daily close below $17,300 as it can cause a retest of the key support of $16,500.

ETH/USD Key Levels

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Ethereum has just retested our key level of $1,341 USD which was highlighted in our previous Morning Note. Should we close above $1,341 on the daily chart, we will look for a move towards $1,472, in the case that $1,472 gets broken, watch for a continuation towards $1,555 before major resistance comes into play. To the downside, if we fail to close above $1,341 and close below $1,261, watch for a retest of $1,190. Should $1,190 fail to hold, major support comes into play at $1,090.

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No Advice Warning 

The information in this newsletter is general only. It should not be taken as constituting professional advice from the author - Stormrake PTY LTD.
Stormrake is not a financial adviser and does not provide financial product advice. You should consider seeking independent legal, financial, taxation or other advice to check how the information relates to your unique circumstances. Stormrake is not liable for any loss caused, whether due to negligence or otherwise arising from the use of, or reliance on, the information provided directly or indirectly, by this newsletter.
 

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